Feb. 10, 2026
The Bill Martinez Show 02 10 26
The Bill Martinez Show 02 10 26
Transcript
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Are you ready?
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Yeah, Okay, let's do it.
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Ill Martinez Live a program about current events, our culture,
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our values, our politics, and our future.
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And now Bill Martinez.
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Well, good morning America. Good to have you with us.
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Bill Martinez here along with doctor Michael Butler, is just
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about six minutes after the top of the hour. Michael,
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how are you.
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I'm going very well, Bill, Thanks for having me. It's
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always my pleasure to be here.
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Well, we appreciate the time. Doctor Butler's public policy analyst,
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economics expert, and a professor of finance at Stockton University
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in New Jersey. Well, let's review a little over a year,
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the first year of the Donald Trump administration. And I'll
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tell you it's enough that his hair is on fire,
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but he's lighting the hair on fire of all the
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Democrats that are just overwhelmed by all the victories that
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Donald Trump keeps doing in spite of all their resistance.
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Right yeah, I mean, if you looking at it from
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an economic standpoint, I mean, things really couldn't have gone
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any better. He put in the tariffs, and everybody got
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very nervous about what the inflationary impact with that of
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that would be. Many economists were fearful that it would
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drive inflation up and it could probably push the economy
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into recession. Well, exactly the opposite has happened the economy,
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which was kind of stuck in a two percent growth
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rate really for the last decade, except for twenty twenty
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one when we rebounded from the pandemic and shot up
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a little more. But under normal conditions, we've had pretty
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slow growth for really a decade or more.
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Yeah, but was it, Michael, Let me ask you this,
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because it seems that democratic policies had kind of put
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a metaphorical governor on our economy. I mean, to the
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point that even Barack Obama said, you know, he thought that,
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you know, was that Donald Trump was illucinating to think
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that he could do three, four or five percent because
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he said the best, he said, you'd be lucky to
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do two percent. Right, So that really tells that's a
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tell for me to say that the system had been
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set up in such a way to limit the natural
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growth of our economy.
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Using the democratic policy. So President Trump came in and
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changed that. So the first quarter of this year we
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had negative growth left over from the buying policies. But
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then when Trump put his policies. In the second quarter
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grew at three point eight percent. The third quarter grew
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at four point three percent. The fourth quarter data we
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don't have yet because the government shut down. It'll be
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over four point three percent. And my forecast for twenty
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twenty six is GDP growth in excess of five percent
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for the year. I also see the inflation rate coming down.
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It was two point nine when Trump entered office. It's
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two point seven now. I think it'll be down to
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two percent by the end of December, which is the
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target that the Federal Reserve sets. One of the reasons,
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or maybe the big reason for this is tax policy.
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You know, Trump extended the twenty eighteen tax cuts, added
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a few more things to it. No tax on tips,
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no tax on overtimes until security tax. So that'll help
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stimulate the economy. Now, normally, when you do that in
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this environment, you say, well, if you stimulate the economy
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you have inflation, you're going to make inflation worse. And
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why isn't that going to happen this time? Because the
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tax policy Trump has put in is a supply side policy,
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where it encourages business to increase output. When you increase output,
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you put downward pressure on price, and the economy is growing.
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How is he going to do that or how did
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he do that? So when business makes an investment, the
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IRS says you can recover your capital in some number
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of years. Machinery typically eight to ten years, factories twenty
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five years. So you only get a portion of your
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capital back every year for as long as the IRSAs now.
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This year, if you make an investment, you can expense
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the whole investment this year, so you can recover all
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of your capital this year. I think that's going to
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set off a tremendous investment boom. You'll see companies building factories.
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It's already started, companies building factories, expanding, adding more machinery
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and capacity. That increase in supply will put downward pressure
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on price and allow our economy to grow. I'm extremely
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optimistic about the economy going forward this year.
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And I'm keeping my eyes open, doctor Butler on the Democrats,
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because they're you know, they're getting frustrated because they see
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all this money and growth in the economy doing so well,
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and the Democrats thinking the way they think. They say, hey,
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that doesn't belong to you, and they want they want
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their viig out of that growth, don't they.
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They do, But this is Trump and his policies are
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geared up for individuals to have the freedom to do
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what they want. Business has the freedom to do what
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they want, and then for individuals to have responsibility for
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themselves rather than social responsibility and limited freedom that we
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had in the last term. Once we do that, once
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we allow people to say, hey, go for whatever you
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want to go for. As Ronald reaganback said back in
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eighty four, you know, he passed his tax cuts and
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people saying, well, should we try something or not? And
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his famous words were.
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Go for it.
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Yeah, exactly.
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In eighty four, the GDP grew it seven point four
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percent after the eighty two tax cuts. I don't think
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will be that good, although we may, but I think
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we'll at least hit the five percent. As long as
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the Democrats don't get in the way of this, this
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should come about.
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Yeah, they can't. They can't help themselves. Michael, So, I
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think business. I think the American people need to be
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aware of their interference because they like the system the
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way it is now, because they've got it rigged. They
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know the rules of the game, and they get their money.
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Like I said, they're getting their viig off all this
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taxpayer money. And now what Trump is doing, he's revolutionizing
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the whole system, and it's it's in the process of
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redefining itself, which will really create this golden age of
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America that everybody could benefit on. And I think they
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need to really hold this in their precious hands in
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such a way that they don't allow the Democrats to
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come in and take over and put a stick in
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the spokes of this very progressive and I mean it
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in a positive way, progressive economy here.
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Yeah, So what the Democrats are going to say, especially
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we're coming up to the midterms, is, look, the economy
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is doing well, but these wealthy people are getting wealthier,
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and they're not paying enough of their income in taxes,
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and it's creating a lot of income inequality. So they're
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going to start pushing more social programs for the lower income.
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And how do you pay for that have to raise
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taxes on the highest income earners. That's actually very counterproductive
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because when you raise taxes on the wealthy, you destroy
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capital formation. In other words, you take away some of
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the investment capital that they would have spent because now
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they have to pay taxes they would have spent and
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that will cause the economy to grow. So by overtaxing
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the wealthy, you're really slowing economic activity down. But that's
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really the only thing they have to complain about because
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everything will look good, just like in twenty twenty, everything
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looked great. Now this pandemic came about and ruined everything.
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But from an economic standpoint, they wouldn't have been able
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to beat Trump. He was doing so well. He's doing
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even better.
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Well, and that's why they had to cheat, you know,
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to win the election. In my humble opinion, but look
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at what you just shared with us. Is not theoretical.
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This is empirical, right, I mean, historically, this is what happens.
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And I'm telling America you need to wake up and
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increase your economic IQ here so you understand what Donald
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Trump is giving you, what the Republican Party could potition you,
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because I think even the Republican Party needs to understand
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this as well, because they're fighting Trump in certain places. Right.
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Yeah, Fortunately he was able to get the big bill
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passed in July, just barely, but he had to do
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a lot of arm twisting and your right through a
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lot a lot of people. Then a Republican party that says, hey,
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you're keeping taxes low for the wealthy. I don't know
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how this is going to play out. And he convinced
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them that not only we'll play out well for everybody,
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but it will help the economy grow and will finally
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be able to hit higher growth numbers.
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Now when we have high growth, Jo Webb.
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Before we get there, we got to go to a
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the Tide Ministry spotlights the true essence of love, the
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