July 7, 2023

While China, Iran, Russia, And Our Enemies Are Rising, Where’s America?

While China, Iran, Russia, And Our Enemies Are Rising, Where’s America?

China threatening US, & Taiwan, The War in Ukraine enters its second year with no immediate end in sight, and Iran threatens Israel with their provocative nuclear developments. What do we need to understand about all these threats? Dr Michael...

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China threatening US, & Taiwan, The War in Ukraine enters its second year with no immediate end in sight, and Iran threatens Israel with their provocative nuclear developments. What do we need to understand about all these threats? Dr Michael Rubin, the 1945 Contributing Editor, a Senior Fellow at the American Enterprise Institute (AEI) and former Pentagon Official discusses.

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Transcript
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The topics and opinions expressed in the
following show are solely those of the hosts

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and their guests, and not those
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Radio or its employees are affiliates. Any

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questions or comments should be directed to
those show hosts. Thank you for choosing

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W FORCY Radio. Hey, welcome, Good to have you with us.

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Bill Martin is here. For more
information on the show, you can check

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it out Bill Martinez Show dot com. Our guest today is doctor Michael Rubin,

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the nineteen forty five contributing editor,
a senior Fellow at the American Enterprise

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Institute, and former Pentagon official.
Michael, Welcome to the show. Good

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to have you with us. Hey, thanks for having me Bill. It's

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pleasure to see you. Well.
You know, I tell you I always

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love it when you're on because you
and I get an opportunity to talk about

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the emerging threats around the world and
where America's position is in defending set threats.

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You know, whether it's China,
Iran, Russia. You know,

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we got the Middle East boiling up. Our enemies are rising, and we

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wonder what's happening with you know,
Secretary Blincoln and the defense of our country

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and our interests. Absolutely, I
hate to say it, but there's absolutely

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no shortage of threats. And the
less we focus, the more they grow.

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Wishing these threats away simply doesn't through
the trick well. And it seems,

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you know, beyond, it's like
we're not doing anything to fortify our

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own you know, dare I say
military infrastructure when you have generals saying,

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oh no, we're not into the
woke stuff. But yet what we get

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back from you know, the soldiers
themselves, is that they have to be

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sensitive to diversity. I mean,
what happened to the military. It's lost

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its sense of mission and objective.
I believe it really is a tragedy because

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the military was for so long,
for decades, the one institution that had

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overwhelming favorability ratings. Americans of all
stripes respected it, and it assiduously stayed

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out of politics, whether among Democrats, whether among Republicans. This tendency of

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letters signing by former generals or admirals
to all sorts of things using the military

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as an engine for social engineering.
It really has ramifications far beyond what so

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many people may believe. Well,
it appears, you know, to your

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point here, Michael, that it's
gotten it's lost its direction, and is

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out of its lane instead of focusing
on why we have a military to begin

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with. I think you're absolutely right
with regard to that. I mean,

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the fact of the matter is the
threats we now face are grave and growing.

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Everyone can sense that. And sometimes
I think, and I say this

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as someone who worked in the Pentagon
at the beginning of the Iraq War,

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and there are parallels to what's going
on now. Oftentimes defense industry specialists politicians

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want to focus on the Manu Shi
and debate that endlessly so that they can

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both feel that they're doing something and
at the same time have an excuse to

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avoid the big picture items, which
are the elephants in the room. Michael,

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How do we address this? I
mean, it almost seems like the

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military industrial complex, which Eisenhower warned
us about, has gotten so massive that

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it's like, you know, trying
to turn a boat in a bathtub here.

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I mean, they're just it just
seems so impossible. Well, on

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one hand, you're absolutely right when
you talk about Eisenhower in that way.

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But wasn't it also Eisenhower said the
buck stops here, and or was that

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Truman? No Truman? Okay,
my apologies. The point is, however,

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that leadership actually matters. Truman had
it, Eisenhower had it. But

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the fact of the matter is,
we're now going back several administrations where it

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doesn't seem that we have leadership.
And I'm talking about a leadership that's willing

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to put the national good above short
term partisan game. On the diplomatic front

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as well as the political front.
We have so many people who are fantastic

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at counting trees, but no one's
willing to identify the forest, and that

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farrest booming right now. As you
said in the intro bill, it's Russia,

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it's Iran, it's China, and
you can add a whole host of

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other threats to that, and we're
just twiddling our thumbs. Michael. You

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know what you're suggesting here is when
you call out these leaders that stood out

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and come top of mind. I
would even add JFK to it, only

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in as much as that he had
a sense of vision and purpose, and

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he cast that vision out to the
American people and they rallied around it,

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and look at what Look what happened. We got into the space race,

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and in short order, even faster
than expected, we were able to accomplish

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our goals. And I see that, in a sense, is what we're

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missing, is that sense of vision
and mission that the American people can get

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behind. Well, I think you're
absolutely right on that. Leadership matters.

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Look, I'm from Philadelphia originally,
and when I go to visit my family,

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I have to drive up nine five
right over that portion of I ninety

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five which collapsed last month. Now
I was going to say, you got

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to take a little detour, now
go ahead, Well, actually you don't.

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That's the interesting thing. The first
estimates was that it would take months

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to fix, if not years,
and yet the governor, the city of

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Philadelphia managed to fix things in about
two weeks. The point of that is,

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and this is what gives me hope. On a temporary basis in Midley,

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but the traffic is flowing that if
there's a will, there's a way.

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The question then becomes, in terms
of leadership, how can we stop

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bickering with each other to realize that
what may be an irritant, which we're

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amplifying into some sort of mountain,
is really just an irritant, and that

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the mountains, the storms on the
horizon are again threats to the entire American

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Republic, which Republicans, Democrats and
everyone in between should have a national interest

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in rallying to push back, Sorry, Bill, for what it is to

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be an American and what makes us
special at home and on the world stage.

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And unfortunately we become true provincial people
simply don't have the experience outside the

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country to realize just how special the
United States is. But you bring up

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an excellent point here. I mean, I'm embarrassed. I didn't know that

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I ninety five had been fixed,
even temporarily. I still envisioned, you

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know, like you said, they
said it could be up to a year

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that people are going to have to
go on this radical detour. But again,

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it speaks of our industry, doesn't
it, and the passion and the

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can do spirit that we have that's
so inherent to you to our DNA.

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I absolutely agree with that. Unfortunately, it also speaks to if you owe

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the commentariat class to especially the mainstream
media bill where we're all happy to highlight

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the problems, but we don't highlight
the examples when things work. I mean,

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you can take this with regard to
what happened in Philadelphia, which normally

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is a dysfunctional city, and Pennsylvania
normally is its functional state, and yet

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they managed to bring it together.
Why aren't we focusing on the lessons of

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how they did that? When it
SuDS to race, for example, why

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aren't we focusing on people like Clarence
Thomas or Condoleeza Rice and the people who

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made it rather than cascading an entire
I mean race of people, ethnicity as

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saying because of the accident of your
birth, you're it's impossible for you to

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be able to succeed. The fact
of the matter is examples of the American

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dream are out there that those are
the people to whom we should who we

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should embrace, who we should transform
into heroes rather than give an excuse to

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I mean, if you will kneecap, that can do spirit exactly well.

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And the thing is, you know
the recent decision by Scotus on affirmative action

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again that brings back into focus your
very point here Michael is that it's about

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merit. Maybe we're just getting to
that point now where we've had enough of

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this race baiting and this industrial racial
complex that has you know, overrun our

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cities, even our own psychology,
to say, look at you know,

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if it's as bad as you're saying
that it is, I'm seeing a lot

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of people of color, you know, brown and black being very successful and

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without exception. What made him successful
They worked their butts off, They worked

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hard, they were dedicated, they
were honest people, and they're successful.

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Boy, I'll tell you you know, to me, that's an American tradition.

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Well, I mean, this is
certainly something that you see when it

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comes to, for example, immigrants
from Nigeria who are extremely overrepresented in academ

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in medicine, in our military simply
because of the culture of family, of

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working together, of that can do
spirit as opposed to making excuses based on

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the color of their skin because the
color of their skin I'm sorry, is

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00:10:05.679 --> 00:10:09.919
black, and they succeed because of
the kind I mean, It's what Martin

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Luther King Junior said, it's the
content of the character, not the color

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of the skin. Yeah, exactly
got to go to break more from doctor

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you, Bill Martinez here along with
doctor Michael Rubin, the nineteen forty five

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contributing editor, senior fellow at the
American Enterprise Institute, and former Pentagon official.

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00:14:20.960 --> 00:14:26.960
Michael It would appear that Secretary B. Lincoln wasn't able to do much

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00:14:26.080 --> 00:14:31.759
damage control when he went to meet
with President gy. But we've got now

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00:14:31.039 --> 00:14:35.639
Janet Yellen, the Secretary of the
Treasury, doing some damage control to see

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00:14:35.720 --> 00:14:41.840
if something can be done to repair, you know, some diplomacy here between

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the US in China. Well,
you know, the danger now is diplomacy

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00:14:46.919 --> 00:14:52.559
for the sake of diplomacy. Bill, And we've got a situation that reminds

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00:14:52.600 --> 00:14:58.399
me a little bit of the Kennedy
Krusev summit back in nineteen sixty one,

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00:14:58.000 --> 00:15:05.039
where Rushchev only, i mean only
agreed to meet with Kennedy after he saw

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00:15:05.120 --> 00:15:11.600
that or he believed that Kennedy was
weak and he could humiliate him further.

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00:15:11.120 --> 00:15:16.440
We've really got to ask the question
about whether meeting for the sake of meeting

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is worthwhile and what preparation is being
taken in to make sure that we can

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actually negotiate from a position of strength. That goes back to your initial questions

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00:15:28.240 --> 00:15:33.919
with regard to our military, the
state of our military, and the solidarity

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00:15:33.000 --> 00:15:39.399
which we're willing to show on foreign
policy. Unfortunately, we come off from

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00:15:39.440 --> 00:15:43.639
the Chinese perspective as just flailing,
and these sorts of visits can actually make

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the situation worse if they embold in
China to believe that we're weak and that

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we don't have the backbone to do
what it takes. Well, Michael,

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with your experience as a Pentagon official
and what you've done, you know globally,

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and you know about the stuff.
You know, when when you have

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officials, especially at this level.
Janet Yellen meeting with President Giu, even

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with Lincoln last time, we expected
some some takeaway. There was nothing that

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came out of there. And so, uh, you know, to your

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point, it really adds to that
perception of weakness that America has if it

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goes and has these meetings and meanwhile
you have the president saying, Oh,

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I'm gonna I'm gonna meet with you
know, President ge Um. You know

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he's not all that offended because I
called him a dictator, you know,

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in other stories. But you know, this seems to be, you know,

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a little bit of a distraction because
I think that the problems that we

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have right now, Michael, unless
I'm misjudging them, I think they're a

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lot more serious that they really need. Uh, you know, the our

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president and their president coming together to
have these discussions, not to have surrogates

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at this point. Well, on
one hand, I agree with you.

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On the other hand, I'm going
to push back. I'm just one one

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issue bill, the notion that somehow
speaking truth in foreign policy should somehow be

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a sin. Now Biden may have
done it accidentally, and even a stop

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clock is right twice a day,
as they say, But China is a

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dictatorship, and I think it's highly
unlikely that g is such a snowflake that

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he truly took great offense at being
called a dictator. We've got to stop

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falling into this track where we tie
ourselves into nuts over fake grievance because our

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enemies take advantage of us there.
But I'm all for, as you say,

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having a head of state summit.
But again, we've got to do

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it from a position of strength rather
than weakness. We've got to do it

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when we've committed to build up Japan, build up India, build up Taiwan,

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rather than do it as if or
at some surf who's coming to meet

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with the Chinese Empire. Emperor Michael, I'm a bit confused. Speaking of

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Taiwan. Joe Biden a one time
said, you know, oh, yeah,

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we're you know, we're definitely gonna
support Taiwan, and then all of

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a sudden it got really milk toasty, and you know, I gotta tell

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you, if I was Taiwan ease, it would have made me nervous because

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I felt like they abandoned me.
Well, it's actually groundhog Day because Biden

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has done it four times, and
each time the White House walked back the

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statement, which raises questions again about
who's really in charge in the White House,

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and that gives a fundamental question about
the state of democracy in the United

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States. But let's put that aside
for a second. You're absolutely right there.

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I mean, what I'm worried about
is not the question of if China

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will make a push towards Taiwan,
but when. And just one thing on

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Taiwan, because many Americans might say, hey, look, why is it

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our business? Anyway, you know, the last time mainland China controlled Taiwan

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in any shape or form, the
United States was still occupying Cuba, as

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if you will, a possession from
the Spanish American War. It's been that

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long. Put another way, China
has only controlled Taiwan for about fifteen years

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over the last five hundred years.
So what we're really seeing when it comes

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to Taiwan isn't China trying to reclaim
some sort of lost territory, but rather

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a furtherance of a colonial action.
And then the question becomes when and how

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are they going to be willing to
stop. If we wanted to look at

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what's often called the nine Dashed Line, this map that gives China ninety percent

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of the South China Sea and is
disputed by Vietnam, by Indonesia, by

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00:20:00.160 --> 00:20:03.759
ni by Malaysia, and by Taiwan
by the Philippines, that map is a

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00:20:03.799 --> 00:20:10.200
complete work of fiction. Even Chinese
historians have more or less said that there

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is no I mean when China says, well, our fishermen have been there

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for hundreds of years, Everyone's fishermen
have been there for hundreds of years.

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The exact point is, give an
inch, they take a hundred miles.

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This is why sometimes when faced with
a bully, you got to stand up

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to them. And I'm sorry,
this is where I'll pushed back. Sending

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00:20:26.759 --> 00:20:32.920
Joe Biden to bumble through Beijing isn't
exactly standing up to them unless we're truly

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prepared. Yeah, Unfortunately, it's
the management we have right now to represent

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00:20:37.480 --> 00:20:44.960
us. And whether it's Blincoln Janet
yelling God forbid, Kamala Harris, You're

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00:20:45.000 --> 00:20:49.559
exactly right. The bench of diplomats
that we have that could support the American

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cause are definitely very weak by comparison, no doubt about it. Michael,

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What if what if China was to
take over Taiwan? What would it look

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00:21:00.519 --> 00:21:06.960
like? Okay, there's a couple
different issues here that I want to parse

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out. First of all, the
thing that worries me most is China is

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going to bluster so much that the
United States is going to give up that

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in effect, we are going to
get bluffed. And the reason I say

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this is number one, China hasn't
fought a war since nineteen seventy nine,

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when they briefly fought Vietnam and they
lost that war. Second of all,

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we often talk about the One Child
policy, the forced sterilizations, of forced

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abortions, in terms of morality,
and it is a moral issue. But

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in terms of strategy, thirty six
years of the One China policy has meant

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that China not only has an army
of single of only children, but of

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only science. And as China's population
ages, the elites in Beijing, the

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elites in Shanghai are going to depend
upon those suns in order to take them

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into their golden years. Now,
the point is this, It's easy to

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lob missiles to Taiwan and cause a
great deal of damage, but Taiwan is

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topographically one of the roughest places on
Earth. To try to occupy Taiwan is

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going to cost tens of thousands of
lives. It's going to make Ukraine look

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like a cakewalk. And the point
is this, China, I'm not sure

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is able to address that. But
let's say, because China's population is plummeting,

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it's going to be eight hundred million
people by the year twenty one hundred.

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Right now it's over one point four
billion. What I'm afraid they do

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if they want to do this if
they want to distract from their economic failings.

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Number one, either go after or
attack, Either pressure or attack Singapore.

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First, why nine of our jet
fuel for the Pacific Command is stored

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in Singapore. And the reason why
that's important is if China invades Taiwan,

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they're going to I mean, we're
going to respond with our navy, but

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we want to stay out of their
missile range, which means we have to

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respond with naval aviation. If they
ncap our ability to fly those planes,

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then what will happen? And this
is where we need to be preparing.

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Where are the fuel deposts in Japan, Where are the fuel deposts in Hawaii?

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Where are the fuel depots in Australia
and so forth? So that's number

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one. Another issue, and this
is what I think is actually much more

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likely rather than all out assault on
Taiwan. I think we're going to have

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the so called salami slicing. That's
where they keep taking a slice hoping that

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it doesn't meet the threshold of an
all out war. A lot of people

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don't realize that the Taiwan Relations Act
commits the United States to defend the main

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Taiwan island and the Pescadories, which
are a group of islands in the middle

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of the Taiwan Street. But Taiwan
is many more islands, some if you

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00:24:02.039 --> 00:24:07.000
remember back to the Eisenhower or Taiwan
crisis, are only about five miles off

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the coast of China. Those aren't
included in the Act, so I think

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00:24:11.680 --> 00:24:17.319
China would go after them first and
test our reaction exactly. Michael got to

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00:24:17.359 --> 00:24:19.200
go to quick Break. More from
doctor Michael Rubin. After this stay with

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thirty two. We're back with the
America. Bill Martinez here, Good to

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have you with us. Doctor Michael
Rubin continues with us the nineteen forty five

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00:28:22.400 --> 00:28:26.000
contributing editor, a senior fellow at
the American Enterprise Institute and former Pentagon official.

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00:28:26.279 --> 00:28:30.400
Michael, I want to stay with
China just a little bit. You

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00:28:30.440 --> 00:28:34.839
know you touched on this. The
demographics of China are troublesome. I think

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00:28:34.880 --> 00:28:41.839
for the first year in recent history, their population, well the year before

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00:28:41.920 --> 00:28:45.519
was static pretty much, but they're
down about point two percent, so they're

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00:28:45.559 --> 00:28:52.200
on a decline. The other thing
that they're realizing is that with the one

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00:28:52.279 --> 00:28:56.440
child two child I think now it's
up to three child policy, the first

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00:28:56.960 --> 00:29:03.359
people to be aborted are are male
female girls. And so now you have

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00:29:03.799 --> 00:29:07.319
a huge lack. You got less
marriages now happening. And I think it

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00:29:07.400 --> 00:29:12.519
was estimated that you have a lot
of men out there that there's no women.

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00:29:14.000 --> 00:29:15.759
I don't know, You're gonna have
to have some sort of Sadie Hawkins

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00:29:15.759 --> 00:29:19.960
event or something so that these men
can have women, because, boy,

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I'll tell you, when you look
at some of the dynamics that occur in

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00:29:25.480 --> 00:29:33.240
cultures when men are not getting married
and they're not being satisfied in a sexual

359
00:29:33.279 --> 00:29:37.000
context, you've got a lot of
problems that rise here. So China's got

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00:29:37.039 --> 00:29:40.680
their hands full, and I think
what's being reported here in the West.

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00:29:41.000 --> 00:29:45.799
We're constantly being told how great they
are and they're in such a strong position,

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00:29:45.240 --> 00:29:52.839
but their economy is down. Their
basic infrastructure of humanity of human bodies,

363
00:29:52.160 --> 00:29:56.000
is at risk, is it not. I think you're absolutely right.

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00:29:56.400 --> 00:30:00.240
Look, they're facing a double whammy
the first thirty six years of the one

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00:30:00.319 --> 00:30:04.200
child policy, and like you said, that came with a great deal of

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00:30:04.440 --> 00:30:11.119
femicide along the side. But as
their economy has grown more affluent, this

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00:30:11.200 --> 00:30:17.480
is something that's common in most developing
a developed economies, is the fertility rate

368
00:30:17.559 --> 00:30:19.960
drops. So on one hand,
perhaps they can have three children now,

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00:30:21.240 --> 00:30:25.720
but many families are choosing not to. Basically, China in the year twenty

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00:30:25.799 --> 00:30:30.079
twenty three is like Japan in the
year nineteen eighty three as it was heading

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00:30:30.119 --> 00:30:36.759
off the demographic precipice. This is
why I had mentioned briefly that UN report

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00:30:36.799 --> 00:30:41.200
which cited that India had surpassed China
as the world's most populous country. Now

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00:30:41.240 --> 00:30:45.279
that was the headlines across the globe, but if you actually look at that

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00:30:45.599 --> 00:30:51.920
report, what I found much more
interesting is by the end of the century,

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00:30:52.599 --> 00:30:56.880
India is going to have a population
around one point six one point seven

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00:30:56.920 --> 00:31:00.640
billion people. China is going to
be down to around eight hundred million people,

377
00:31:02.079 --> 00:31:06.279
meaning they're going to lose six hundred
six hundred million people from where they

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00:31:06.319 --> 00:31:11.279
are now, or approximately two entire
populations of the United States of America that's

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00:31:11.359 --> 00:31:17.440
reculif facing, and with that goes
their economy, because their economy, with

380
00:31:17.480 --> 00:31:22.240
all due respects to Tom Friedman,
hasn't been the result of wise dictatorship.

381
00:31:22.720 --> 00:31:27.720
It's been on economists call the demographic
dividend, where suddenly you have a huge

382
00:31:27.880 --> 00:31:33.599
influx of working age population, but
you don't have many elderly population. Now

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00:31:33.599 --> 00:31:37.640
that's going to invert, and when
that inverts, you're usually talking recession.

384
00:31:40.200 --> 00:31:42.839
Yeah, exactly. And then the
tradition and the culture of the Chinese people

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00:31:44.400 --> 00:31:48.960
is the eldest son or child takes
care of the elderly. So how are

386
00:31:48.960 --> 00:31:53.599
they going to be able to contribute
to the GDP of China if their home

387
00:31:53.720 --> 00:32:00.160
with their parents. You're absolutely correct
with that, and that's what China is

388
00:32:00.160 --> 00:32:04.039
facing. I mean, when I
go to India and I was on the

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00:32:04.039 --> 00:32:09.079
Indian Chinese boarder high up in near
the Himalayas last fall, you know what

390
00:32:09.359 --> 00:32:15.559
someone Indian soldier said to me was
the average Indian soldier has four siblings.

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00:32:15.799 --> 00:32:20.400
The average Chinese soldier has none.
I mean, this is what China is

392
00:32:20.440 --> 00:32:22.839
facing. And so this is what
I mean. I think we need to

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00:32:22.880 --> 00:32:28.319
focus on the question, isn't the
rise of China. It's not the suit

394
00:32:29.200 --> 00:32:34.240
China supplanting in the United States.
Rather, it's the fall of China and

395
00:32:34.319 --> 00:32:37.759
what that fall might mean. And
there we have an example when it comes

396
00:32:37.759 --> 00:32:43.640
to Russia, as Russia's demographics,
as its fertility I imploated. We see

397
00:32:43.720 --> 00:32:49.880
Vladimir Putin engage in this adventurism to
distract people by waving the flag. What

398
00:32:49.960 --> 00:32:52.400
would it mean if China did the
same thing. One last point, Bill,

399
00:32:53.480 --> 00:32:59.200
If your viewers can imagine a map
and they draw drew a circle around

400
00:32:59.519 --> 00:33:05.720
India and China, more people on
this earth live inside that circle than outside

401
00:33:05.799 --> 00:33:09.599
that circle. We've never really had
a major war, at least since nineteen

402
00:33:09.640 --> 00:33:15.440
seventy nine inside that circle. What
would be the economic ramifications of such a

403
00:33:15.519 --> 00:33:21.319
war even if the United States wasn't
directly involved. Michael, you know,

404
00:33:21.359 --> 00:33:23.440
you bring up such an excellent point, and it makes me wonder. I

405
00:33:23.440 --> 00:33:28.920
mean, right now, we got
globaliss with their mission and their objectives that

406
00:33:28.960 --> 00:33:32.759
they're looking at. Is there anybody
that is looking at what you just laid

407
00:33:32.759 --> 00:33:37.119
out. I mean, you don't
want cranky people coming out of any one

408
00:33:37.119 --> 00:33:43.000
of those two areas. I mean
that could be devastating to the entire globe,

409
00:33:43.039 --> 00:33:46.200
would it not. Well, I
think you're absolutely right on that bill.

410
00:33:46.799 --> 00:33:50.839
The short answer is, yes,
people are thinking about this. They're

411
00:33:50.880 --> 00:33:54.599
thinking about this in the think tanks. They're thinking about this on the country

412
00:33:54.640 --> 00:34:00.359
desks and in the intelligence community,
and yes, in the military. Problem

413
00:34:00.519 --> 00:34:05.400
is our leadership, both in Congress
and in the White House, aren't thinking

414
00:34:05.440 --> 00:34:10.000
about this. You know, you
can't win the battle for freedom on the

415
00:34:10.000 --> 00:34:15.559
fly. You've got a plan,
and we're not planning. It's like we're

416
00:34:15.559 --> 00:34:19.679
in a slow motion train wreck.
Everyone can see it coming and we're doing

417
00:34:19.800 --> 00:34:22.599
nothing to hit the brakes. Well, I guess what you're saying is something

418
00:34:22.599 --> 00:34:25.639
that in my gut that I've sensed, is that we're not very proactive.

419
00:34:27.440 --> 00:34:30.239
These days, we seem to be
more reactive. And again, you know,

420
00:34:30.320 --> 00:34:32.719
some of this stuff, like you
said, happening in thing tanks,

421
00:34:32.719 --> 00:34:38.159
happening in places that you know only
nerdy people and people like you and I

422
00:34:38.280 --> 00:34:42.639
are interested in that because we see
the trajectory and we think of at least

423
00:34:42.639 --> 00:34:45.440
for me, I'm thinking of my
kids and my grandkids, Michael, what

424
00:34:45.079 --> 00:34:49.559
is what kind of America are we
leaving them? What kind of world are

425
00:34:49.559 --> 00:34:52.679
they going to step into what you
say proactive, and I agree with you.

426
00:34:52.800 --> 00:34:57.159
I say serious, and we're not
showing a great deal of seriousness.

427
00:34:57.400 --> 00:35:00.639
We're kicking that in the can down
the road in a way that is wholly

428
00:35:00.840 --> 00:35:07.039
irresponsible for the next generations. There's
no other way to put it exactly.

429
00:35:07.199 --> 00:35:12.400
Well, you bring up Russia and
Ukraine. Here it is you know,

430
00:35:13.719 --> 00:35:17.400
this is just the war that will
not end here. And Donald Trump has

431
00:35:17.400 --> 00:35:20.920
said, look at give me twenty
four hours. I could fix this thing.

432
00:35:21.280 --> 00:35:24.840
And of course other stratagists kind of
mock that, but I'm not hearing

433
00:35:24.880 --> 00:35:30.880
any other alternative other than hey,
let's just keep giving Ukraine billions of dollars

434
00:35:30.880 --> 00:35:34.360
to defend themselves. Well, the
first thing, though, is I think

435
00:35:34.360 --> 00:35:37.440
we need to step back and ask
what our end goal is. And it's

436
00:35:37.480 --> 00:35:40.119
simply to allow Ukraine to stand up
to Russia, or is it to allow

437
00:35:40.280 --> 00:35:45.960
Ukraine to win? And what would
be highly unfair is simply to dribble out

438
00:35:46.039 --> 00:35:52.960
weaponry to Ukraine expect Ukrainians to die
for a fight where we're not serious about

439
00:35:52.000 --> 00:35:58.639
allowing Ukraine to win. So either
we commit ourselves to a Ukrainian victory,

440
00:35:59.239 --> 00:36:04.719
or we stop treating the Ukrainians unfairly. I hope Ukraine wins this war.

441
00:36:05.199 --> 00:36:08.880
What I'm afraid of, though,
is we've descended into a frozen conflict in

442
00:36:08.920 --> 00:36:13.880
which neither Russia nor Ukraine are going
to be able to win. But too

443
00:36:13.880 --> 00:36:22.079
many people have, too many outside
powers have a interest in continuing this fight.

444
00:36:22.599 --> 00:36:24.639
Ultimately, I think PIECE is only
going to come to Ukraine and Vladimir

445
00:36:24.719 --> 00:36:30.760
Putin dies right sadly, Well,
you know, whatever it takes. But

446
00:36:30.800 --> 00:36:34.079
the other thing that we're looking for
here, you know, going back to

447
00:36:34.119 --> 00:36:37.840
what we talked about earlier, Michael, and that is that where's the visionary,

448
00:36:37.960 --> 00:36:44.760
who is the congealing leader to come
in and bring NATO together, because

449
00:36:44.880 --> 00:36:50.639
it seems that NATO has a lot
more to lose than America if Russia was

450
00:36:50.679 --> 00:36:55.639
to win over Ukraine. Well,
I think that you're absolutely right there.

451
00:36:57.039 --> 00:37:01.719
And look, the silver lining to
what we've seen over the last year and

452
00:37:01.800 --> 00:37:07.639
a half in Ukraine is the fact
that Europe is a lot more serious than

453
00:37:07.679 --> 00:37:10.639
it was just a few years ago. Europe may have been serious after World

454
00:37:10.679 --> 00:37:14.199
War Two, it may have been
serious at the height of the Cold War,

455
00:37:15.039 --> 00:37:20.719
but European leaders have lost their sense
of seriousness now they've regained that,

456
00:37:21.039 --> 00:37:27.119
and the European public has as well. The unfortunately NATO structure as it's expanded,

457
00:37:27.119 --> 00:37:32.280
perhaps for the sake of expanding,
isn't capable of addressing perhaps what its

458
00:37:32.320 --> 00:37:37.480
core mission needs to be. And
that's because it's taken on countries like I

459
00:37:37.519 --> 00:37:42.440
mean, some smaller countries. When
we see the in fighting between Turkey and

460
00:37:43.320 --> 00:37:50.119
NATO applicant Sweden, we're again losing
sight of the forest. For focus on

461
00:37:50.280 --> 00:37:54.440
trees exactly time to go to break
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eight two three nine eight five three. That's eight hundred eight two three ninety

503
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eight fifty three. And we're back
with your Bill Martinez here with doctor Michael

504
00:41:24.280 --> 00:41:29.920
Reuben nineteen forty five, contributing editor, senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute,

505
00:41:30.199 --> 00:41:34.000
and former Pentagon official. You know, when we talk national security,

506
00:41:34.079 --> 00:41:39.639
there's so many moving arts that protect
and ensure our national security. Whether it's

507
00:41:39.639 --> 00:41:45.239
our southern border, whether it's thirty
two trillion dollars in counting in national debt,

508
00:41:45.559 --> 00:41:52.000
it goes on and on. Not
to mention these factions around the world

509
00:41:52.039 --> 00:41:54.800
that are causing problems. Michael,
I do want to talk about Israel in

510
00:41:54.840 --> 00:42:01.039
Iran, but before we do,
to me, the closest emerging threat is

511
00:42:01.039 --> 00:42:06.840
what's happening at our southern border.
I absolutely agree. You know, I

512
00:42:06.920 --> 00:42:13.679
once asked a very senior administration official
in a previous administration what kept him up

513
00:42:13.719 --> 00:42:17.320
at night, and his answer was
state failure in Mexico. And the fact

514
00:42:17.360 --> 00:42:23.840
of the matter is the cartels are
a cancer inside of those societies. And

515
00:42:24.239 --> 00:42:30.239
I don't think the United States fully
imagines not what the situation might look like

516
00:42:30.719 --> 00:42:34.039
a year from now, but what
it might look like ten years from now.

517
00:42:34.360 --> 00:42:38.320
Put another way, we have people
flooding across our border on one hand

518
00:42:38.360 --> 00:42:44.039
for economic opportunity, on the other
hand, because they say they're fleeing violence,

519
00:42:44.320 --> 00:42:47.840
their governments their home states have collapsed. Well, what are we doing

520
00:42:47.880 --> 00:42:52.840
to reverse those collapse? Because a
cancer left untreated is only going to spread.

521
00:42:53.960 --> 00:42:57.679
And of course they're coming across the
border. They got hooks, they

522
00:42:57.760 --> 00:43:00.880
got cartel hooks in them, Michael. And this is the thing, you

523
00:43:00.880 --> 00:43:04.559
know, we've been shouting from the
rooftops about this. You know, I

524
00:43:04.599 --> 00:43:10.000
was looking at a map that was
showing where the cartel was operating in just

525
00:43:10.079 --> 00:43:14.320
about every state of the Union.
I think about eight states they're not in.

526
00:43:14.400 --> 00:43:15.880
But I think it's a matter of
as I'm before, they're in every

527
00:43:15.880 --> 00:43:22.159
state of the Union. So they
have an infrastructure to produce a specific outcome,

528
00:43:22.519 --> 00:43:29.960
and they're operating with near impunity.
Michael. I think you're absolutely correct

529
00:43:30.000 --> 00:43:32.400
on that. Again, there's no
way to really add to that. It's

530
00:43:32.440 --> 00:43:38.239
a major threat and we're looking the
other way. And so here it is

531
00:43:38.840 --> 00:43:43.159
as you say, I mean,
we've got danger right now. In ten

532
00:43:43.239 --> 00:43:46.000
years from now, what's it going
to be like. There's a movie that

533
00:43:46.639 --> 00:43:52.920
just came out over the holiday called
Sound of Freedom, which is about human

534
00:43:52.960 --> 00:44:00.639
trafficking and a federal agent who did
as much as he could while he was

535
00:44:00.719 --> 00:44:06.559
with the Department of Homeland Security in
saving kids from human trafficking, and he

536
00:44:06.679 --> 00:44:10.599
ended up resigning his job to start
his own, his own organization to go

537
00:44:10.679 --> 00:44:15.840
out and save you know, hundreds, if not thousands of kids who have

538
00:44:15.039 --> 00:44:20.519
been abducted. And you know,
and we see and talk about and we

539
00:44:20.559 --> 00:44:22.840
think, oh, well, that's
happening in Honduras, or that's happening in

540
00:44:22.920 --> 00:44:25.039
Colombia. No, it's happening in
the United States. I think, Jim

541
00:44:25.119 --> 00:44:29.079
Caviezel said, the United States is, like, I don't know, the

542
00:44:29.400 --> 00:44:35.840
top two, top three countries involved
in human sex trafficking, and many of

543
00:44:35.880 --> 00:44:38.760
them. I think one out of
four of the human humans that are sex

544
00:44:38.800 --> 00:44:44.079
traffic are children. Michael, Well, you know, I haven't seen the

545
00:44:44.119 --> 00:44:45.800
movie yet. I heard about it, and I heard it was based on

546
00:44:46.239 --> 00:44:51.199
a true story. What's actually interesting
to me, beyond what you just said,

547
00:44:51.880 --> 00:44:54.199
is that this movie, which was
done on an extremely low budget,

548
00:44:54.840 --> 00:44:59.880
managed to supplant and knock out of
the number one position in the box office

549
00:45:00.320 --> 00:45:05.880
the latest Indiana Jones movie. And
that symbolizes how the American public and the

550
00:45:06.559 --> 00:45:10.639
focus of the American public, the
appetite of the American public for truth,

551
00:45:10.679 --> 00:45:16.400
for addressing problems head on, is
different than what Hollywood wants to impose in

552
00:45:16.519 --> 00:45:22.000
terms of ideological indoctrination. What it's
like you said earlier, Michael, We've

553
00:45:22.000 --> 00:45:25.119
got to be serious about these things. There is a lack of curiosity,

554
00:45:25.320 --> 00:45:30.280
a lack of seriousness. And you
know, the other thing we've been talking

555
00:45:30.320 --> 00:45:34.239
about is part of the reason that
whether we're talking about fentonol or we're talking

556
00:45:34.280 --> 00:45:37.559
about human sex trafficking, is that
we need to admit that here in the

557
00:45:37.639 --> 00:45:43.039
United States, we've got trouble here
in River City, that we're consumers for

558
00:45:43.079 --> 00:45:46.840
this junk, and because we're consumers
for this junk, they keep selling it

559
00:45:46.880 --> 00:45:52.239
to us. I think you're absolutely
right, And on one hand, you're

560
00:45:52.280 --> 00:45:58.159
absolutely right. On the other hand, a number of corporations are starting to

561
00:45:58.199 --> 00:46:02.400
wake up to the fact that the
American public's appetite for having various ideologies and

562
00:46:02.519 --> 00:46:07.039
things imposed on us is stepping back. You know, it's July. June's

563
00:46:07.079 --> 00:46:10.719
pride month is over. I have
a modest proposal. Let's get rid of

564
00:46:10.760 --> 00:46:15.239
all these months. Yes, And
the fact of the matter is we're all

565
00:46:15.280 --> 00:46:20.320
Americans. I tend to be a
social libertarian to each his own. We're

566
00:46:20.360 --> 00:46:24.440
a tapestry that makes the country better
together. But that doesn't mean that we

567
00:46:24.519 --> 00:46:31.239
have to be engaging in sort of
exercises which divide, exactly, and that's

568
00:46:31.280 --> 00:46:36.039
what it does. It divides,
it doesn't united. You're exactly right,

569
00:46:36.280 --> 00:46:38.119
I mean to me, you know
when you said that, I'm thinking affirmative

570
00:46:38.159 --> 00:46:42.039
action. You know, let's get
rid of it. Let's level the playing

571
00:46:42.079 --> 00:46:45.039
field for everybody. You know,
every day can be a holiday if you're

572
00:46:45.039 --> 00:46:47.679
an American, you know here in
this country, why not? Right,

573
00:46:49.760 --> 00:46:51.840
Well, I think you're absolutely right. I mean, the irony of the

574
00:46:51.880 --> 00:46:57.559
affirmative action issue is that most African
Americans, most Hispanics, most Asians,

575
00:46:57.880 --> 00:47:01.719
most minorities disagree with affirmative action.
They want to be merit based. It

576
00:47:01.760 --> 00:47:07.920
reminds me of a whole Latin X
controversy where when Latinos were pulled on this,

577
00:47:08.679 --> 00:47:12.719
I think two percent were in favor
of the term, and yet we're

578
00:47:12.760 --> 00:47:15.920
trying to impose it on people.
I mean, we've got to stop this

579
00:47:15.039 --> 00:47:19.840
nonsense exactly. Well, two percent
maybe in favor, but I'll tell you

580
00:47:19.840 --> 00:47:22.800
the other ninety eight percent, Michael, not happy at all, No bueno

581
00:47:22.880 --> 00:47:27.800
whatsoever. I mean, they were
upset and insulted, and rightfully so.

582
00:47:28.000 --> 00:47:31.280
And that's why it went away so
quickly. You know, you're you're absolutely

583
00:47:31.360 --> 00:47:35.199
right. Well, look, it
corrupts the culture. I mean the culture.

584
00:47:36.280 --> 00:47:38.760
I mean, sometimes languages have gender, sometimes they don't. The fact

585
00:47:38.840 --> 00:47:43.039
of the matter is, it's what
makes us richer. Yeah, without a

586
00:47:43.079 --> 00:47:45.239
doubt, Michael. You know,
for me, and you know, we've

587
00:47:45.280 --> 00:47:49.199
talked about this for a long time. When I think of the Middle East,

588
00:47:49.360 --> 00:47:52.679
I think of Israel. It liked
it or not, Israel is the

589
00:47:52.719 --> 00:47:55.480
center. To me, that is
the focus. I look at it in

590
00:47:55.599 --> 00:48:00.960
terms of, you know, according
to God's prophetic clock, Israel is where

591
00:48:01.400 --> 00:48:06.639
God's clock is at. So I
look at what's happening in Israel and how

592
00:48:06.679 --> 00:48:10.639
that's affecting the Middle East. And
right now you've got Iran again, saber

593
00:48:10.719 --> 00:48:14.559
rattling. Well, they're more than
that. I mean they're rattling you know,

594
00:48:14.840 --> 00:48:19.000
nuclear options here, and you and
I had this conversation a couple of

595
00:48:19.079 --> 00:48:22.360
years back, and at the time, Israel was going to have to rely

596
00:48:22.480 --> 00:48:29.880
on one Barack Obama to help them
to do something about these nuclear centrifuges that

597
00:48:29.920 --> 00:48:34.280
were building up in Iran. But
I don't think Israel's going to wait anymore,

598
00:48:34.360 --> 00:48:38.079
do you. I don't think Israel
can truly wait or rely on the

599
00:48:38.199 --> 00:48:43.280
United States. You know, some
analysts say, well, if Iran gets

600
00:48:43.280 --> 00:48:47.239
twenty kilograms of ninety percent enriched highly
enriched geranium, they could build a bomb.

601
00:48:47.480 --> 00:48:52.360
Let's not forget that at Hiroshima the
bomb was only around seventy five to

602
00:48:52.440 --> 00:48:55.760
eighty percent enrich. We can't start, I mean, we can't force ourselves

603
00:48:57.039 --> 00:49:01.000
to assume that the perfect is going
to be the outcome, rather than from

604
00:49:01.000 --> 00:49:06.519
the Iranian standpoint, the good.
We're vulnerable to dirty bombs right now.

605
00:49:06.800 --> 00:49:10.159
The Iranian problem isn't going away.
And you know, a year ago we

606
00:49:10.159 --> 00:49:14.119
were talking about, or almost a
year ago, we were talking about the

607
00:49:14.119 --> 00:49:19.239
protests across Iran. The fact of
the matter is they're saber rattling because they're

608
00:49:19.239 --> 00:49:23.320
afraid of what might happen domestically.
And this is the same sort of concern,

609
00:49:23.840 --> 00:49:28.000
same pattern we see in Iran that
we've seen in Russia, and we

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00:49:28.039 --> 00:49:31.000
see in China. We need to
be very worried right now. Perfectly Well,

611
00:49:31.039 --> 00:49:34.719
Michael, I cannot thank you enough
for coming on the show. I

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00:49:34.760 --> 00:49:38.079
always appreciate your insight and being able
to kind of give us a lesson as

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00:49:38.079 --> 00:49:43.599
to what's happening on a national security
level. And you know, I appreciate

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00:49:43.679 --> 00:49:46.880
your candor and certainly your experience because
you bring a lot to bear on this

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00:49:47.000 --> 00:49:51.880
topic, and I know our audience
is blessed for your time. I appreciate

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00:49:51.880 --> 00:49:55.119
it. Thank you, sir,
Thank you, Bill Well. Doctor Michael

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00:49:55.280 --> 00:50:00.440
Rubin has been our guest, the
nineteen forty five contributing editor, senior fellow

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00:50:00.599 --> 00:50:06.039
at the American Enterprise Institute, and
former Pentagon official. Thank you, Michael

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00:50:06.079 --> 00:50:08.559
Reuben. Thank you ladies and gentlemen
for sharing a part of your day with

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00:50:08.679 --> 00:50:14.199
us, and we look forward to
getting together once again as we continue to

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00:50:14.239 --> 00:50:19.159
pursue the truth, no matter where
it leads. May God bless you and

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00:50:19.239 --> 00:50:22.280
keep you, and make His face
shine upon you, go and be blessed

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00:50:22.320 --> 00:50:24.000
beyond your imagination. Thank you for
being with us,